Thursday, January 17, 2008

Rudy Giuliani Wins the Michigan Primary?

Yes it is true that simply by looking at the number Rudy was far from technically winning Michigan, he only received 2.85% of the vote. Yes he did finish behind Ron Paul and Law and Order's own Fred Dalton Thompson. However, Mitt Romney's win in Michigan means that the Republican field is wide open without a true front runner.
Rudy Giuliani’s campaign decided a few months ago that they were going to focus their campaign on Super Tuesday. With big states such as New York, Rudy’s home state, California and a variety of states in the Northeast where Rudy is best known, voting on February 5th he knows he had to hang on until then. The strategy was unquestionably risky because it relied on the premise that there would not be a clear leader in the race for the Republican nomination going into the February 5th primaries, so far it has paid off.
Going into Iowa Romney seemed the front-runner, Rudy was hoping for a Huckabee victory to upset Romney’s stance at the favorite for the nomination. He got it. Then in New Hampshire, Rudy was hoping for a big McCain win, therefore denying Romney the first two primaries where he poured in millions of dollars for ads. Going into Michigan the media seemed ready to declare McCain as the frontrunner barring a loss in Michigan. Had McCain won Michigan he would’ve then won South Carolina easily, probably Nevada and certainly Florida. At that point almost all Republican money would be in his hands enabling him to run ads in all Super Tuesday States. However that isn’t what happened, Romney wins Michigan and the confusion continues.
As long as this back and forth continues going into Super Tuesday, Rudy will continue to be in a position to have enough delegates to be the Republican nominee for President.

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