Showing posts with label Primary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Primary. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Democrats Candidate Unknown: Good or Bad?

While Obama seems to be on the path to claiming the Democratic nomination, it is amazing that we are entering March with such a tight race. Although I have not closely observed many elections, this is the first election I can remember where there is not a clear distinction of who will be the Democratic candidate. This issue led to a discussion within my group of friends. Our question to each other is how this will impact the Democrats campaign for presidency. The conclusion of our conversation showed both pros and cons to the current situation.

Pros:
  • The Democratic Party can begin exposing weaknesses in John McCain's campaign and policies. The Republican Party still does not know who they need to target.
  • The Democratic candidates are getting more exposure.
  • The Democratic candidates are gaining valuable debate experience that will help them prepare for debate during the general election.

Cons:
  • The Democratic Party is losing time to unify itself between the primaries and the election.
  • Obama and Clinton are criticizing one another so much that the Republicans do not have to worry about attacking either candidate.
  • More exposure leads to more chances to make mistakes that can come back and hurt the candidates later on.
Do you think that the Democrats close Primary race is harming or helping the party? Why or why not?

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Rudy Giuliani Wins the Michigan Primary?

Yes it is true that simply by looking at the number Rudy was far from technically winning Michigan, he only received 2.85% of the vote. Yes he did finish behind Ron Paul and Law and Order's own Fred Dalton Thompson. However, Mitt Romney's win in Michigan means that the Republican field is wide open without a true front runner.
Rudy Giuliani’s campaign decided a few months ago that they were going to focus their campaign on Super Tuesday. With big states such as New York, Rudy’s home state, California and a variety of states in the Northeast where Rudy is best known, voting on February 5th he knows he had to hang on until then. The strategy was unquestionably risky because it relied on the premise that there would not be a clear leader in the race for the Republican nomination going into the February 5th primaries, so far it has paid off.
Going into Iowa Romney seemed the front-runner, Rudy was hoping for a Huckabee victory to upset Romney’s stance at the favorite for the nomination. He got it. Then in New Hampshire, Rudy was hoping for a big McCain win, therefore denying Romney the first two primaries where he poured in millions of dollars for ads. Going into Michigan the media seemed ready to declare McCain as the frontrunner barring a loss in Michigan. Had McCain won Michigan he would’ve then won South Carolina easily, probably Nevada and certainly Florida. At that point almost all Republican money would be in his hands enabling him to run ads in all Super Tuesday States. However that isn’t what happened, Romney wins Michigan and the confusion continues.
As long as this back and forth continues going into Super Tuesday, Rudy will continue to be in a position to have enough delegates to be the Republican nominee for President.